Press "Enter" to skip to content

Here’s how the coronavirus crises is different from 2008

A plunging stock market. The widening shadow of recession. Fed interest rate cuts and government stimulus.

It’s beginning to feel a lot like 2008 again. And not in a good way.

For many Americans, the stomach-churning market drops and growing recession talk of the past few weeks – triggered by the global spread of the coronavirus – are reviving memories of the 2008 financial crisis and Great Recession.

Take a breath. While the toll the infection ultimately takes on the nation isn’t clear, the economic upheaval caused by the outbreak will likely not be nearly as damaging or long-lasting as the historic downturn of 2007-09.

“A recession is not inevitable,” says Gus Faucher, chief economist of PNC Financial Services Group. “If we do get a recession, it is likely to be brief and much less severe than the Great Recession.”

Silly tax mistakes:7 common filing errors to avoid this year

Staying cool in a panic:Coronavirus shouldn’t stop you from adding to your portfolio

For one thing, the 2008 financial crisis and recession resulted from years of deeply rooted weak spots in the economy. That’s not the case now.

“What we’re seeing is caused by something external to the economy,” Faucher says.

“It’s closer to a natural disaster,” says Kathy Bostjancic, director of U.S. Macro Investors Services at Oxford Economics.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Feb. 27, 2020 in New York City.  With concerns growing about how the coronavirus might effect the economy, stocks fell for the fourth straight day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost almost 1200 points on Thursday.

Partly as a result, the economy’s major players – consumers, businesses and lenders – are much better positioned to withstand the blows and bounce back.

Here’s a look at how the current crisis compares with the meltdown more than a decade ago.

The cause

The Great Recession. The bruising downturn was set off by an overheated housing market. Banks and other lenders approved mortgages – including many to buyers who weren’t qualified, driving up home prices to stratospheric levels. The banks bundled the mortgages into securities and sold them to other financial institutions. 

Source link

Be First to Comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *